← Trading Activity

ERIEStock

Peer group: Stock · mcap decile 9

Algorithmic Intensity

Elevated

76 / 100

How algorithmically quoted this security is (cancel-to-trade + order-to-trade), ranked against peers of similar size. Higher = more automated market-making/HFT churn.

Institutional Footprint

Very High

84 / 100

How much of this security's activity happens via hidden (non-displayed) orders, ranked against similar-size peers. Higher = more orders worked quietly.

Retail Fragmentation

Very High

100 / 100

How odd-lot-heavy this security's trading is, ranked against similar-size peers. Often reflects high share price and retail participation.

Order-Flow Metrics · 2026 Q2 · 62 trading days

Cancel-to-Trade Ratio

9.8

50% since start

How many orders are cancelled for each executed trade. Higher values indicate heavier algorithmic quoting activity.

Hidden-Order Rate

45.9%

27.5% since start

Share of trades executed against hidden (non-displayed) orders. Higher values suggest more institutional or dark-pool-style activity.

Odd-Lot Rate

92.4%

0.8% since start

Share of trades in odd lots (fewer than 100 shares). Often elevated for high-priced or heavily retail-fragmented names.

Order-to-Trade Volume

32.5

53.1% since start

Ratio of submitted order volume to executed trade volume — a measure of quoting intensity.

Hidden Volume Share

44.3%

4.2% since start

Share of trade volume executed against hidden orders.

History · 22 quarters

QuarterCancel/TradeHidden RateOdd-Lot RateOrder/Trade Vol
2021 Q119.736.0%93.1%69.4
2021 Q215.432.5%93.8%62.0
2021 Q322.632.6%93.8%94.6
2021 Q418.128.3%93.6%80.1
2022 Q121.031.4%95.3%90.0
2022 Q217.226.8%95.7%90.9
2022 Q320.433.8%95.5%115.1
2022 Q412.638.8%94.6%62.6
2023 Q110.340.8%95.4%57.5
2023 Q211.341.0%95.3%63.7
2023 Q310.938.8%93.1%52.0
2023 Q417.942.8%96.1%116.6
2024 Q119.543.3%95.4%113.1
2024 Q221.645.2%97.2%161.9
2024 Q313.746.9%97.1%85.8
2024 Q411.149.4%96.8%60.7
2025 Q111.350.7%96.5%51.7
2025 Q210.049.7%97.1%50.7
2025 Q37.750.4%97.5%27.1
2025 Q49.149.1%98.4%25.5
2026 Q17.948.1%88.6%19.2
2026 Q29.845.9%92.4%32.5

Forecast & Accuracy

Next-quarter estimate for each behavior metric, chosen by whichever simple model has been most accurate for this security in a walk-forward backtest. We show the historical error (MAPE) and how often the trend direction was right, so you can judge how much to trust each number. These forecast trading behavior, not price.

Cancel-to-Trade Ratio

9.8

next quarter · from 9.8

Trend: falling

Backtest accuracy: ±21.4% avg error · direction right 53% of quarters

model: naive · 19 test quarters

Hidden-Order Rate

45.9%

next quarter · from 45.9%

Trend: rising

Backtest accuracy: ±6.7% avg error · direction right 32% of quarters

model: naive · 19 test quarters

Odd-Lot Rate

92.8%

next quarter · from 92.4%

Trend: rising

Backtest accuracy: ±1.4% avg error · direction right 63% of quarters

model: ema · 19 test quarters

Unusual Activity Days

Days when ERIE's order-cancellation activity spiked well above its typical range for that quarter (more than two standard deviations). These often line up with earnings, news, or market-wide events.

2026-06-22cancel/trade 18.99 vs avg 10.25+2.48σ
2026-06-18cancel/trade 18.56 vs avg 10.25+2.36σ
2026-06-15cancel/trade 19.01 vs avg 10.25+2.49σ
2026-03-19cancel/trade 18.82 vs avg 8.04+4.74σ
2026-03-10cancel/trade 14.87 vs avg 8.04+3σ
2026-02-09cancel/trade 15.29 vs avg 8.04+3.19σ
2025-12-23cancel/trade 42.88 vs avg 9.36+7.34σ
2025-09-30cancel/trade 16.77 vs avg 7.92+4.26σ
2025-09-29cancel/trade 17.83 vs avg 7.92+4.77σ
2025-05-15cancel/trade 93.1 vs avg 10.59+7.29σ
2025-04-01cancel/trade 34.88 vs avg 10.59+2.14σ
2025-03-18cancel/trade 20.14 vs avg 12.05+2.2σ

Derived from the SEC's public MIDAS market-structure data. Describes historical order-flow behavior for informational and educational purposes only. Not investment advice and not a forecast of price or return.