← Trading Activity

FOLDStock

Peer group: Stock · mcap decile 8

Algorithmic Intensity

Moderate

48 / 100

How algorithmically quoted this security is (cancel-to-trade + order-to-trade), ranked against peers of similar size. Higher = more automated market-making/HFT churn.

Institutional Footprint

Very High

100 / 100

How much of this security's activity happens via hidden (non-displayed) orders, ranked against similar-size peers. Higher = more orders worked quietly.

Retail Fragmentation

Very Low

8 / 100

How odd-lot-heavy this security's trading is, ranked against similar-size peers. Often reflects high share price and retail participation.

Order-Flow Metrics · 2026 Q2 · 17 trading days

Cancel-to-Trade Ratio

4.0

65.8% since start

How many orders are cancelled for each executed trade. Higher values indicate heavier algorithmic quoting activity.

Hidden-Order Rate

69.4%

333.9% since start

Share of trades executed against hidden (non-displayed) orders. Higher values suggest more institutional or dark-pool-style activity.

Odd-Lot Rate

50.9%

27.2% since start

Share of trades in odd lots (fewer than 100 shares). Often elevated for high-priced or heavily retail-fragmented names.

Order-to-Trade Volume

32.9

70% since start

Ratio of submitted order volume to executed trade volume — a measure of quoting intensity.

Hidden Volume Share

58.6%

229% since start

Share of trade volume executed against hidden orders.

History · 22 quarters

QuarterCancel/TradeHidden RateOdd-Lot RateOrder/Trade Vol
2021 Q111.716.0%40.0%19.4
2021 Q217.612.3%39.1%29.8
2021 Q312.011.8%37.8%20.2
2021 Q411.912.2%42.5%20.5
2022 Q116.515.1%44.3%29.3
2022 Q216.016.0%38.3%28.9
2022 Q315.316.0%45.1%29.5
2022 Q416.017.9%49.8%31.1
2023 Q114.817.0%50.5%26.7
2023 Q213.916.4%51.3%26.2
2023 Q313.418.8%54.8%29.0
2023 Q416.518.6%53.1%33.0
2024 Q118.018.7%52.6%34.6
2024 Q212.821.3%51.4%26.7
2024 Q314.525.7%52.6%29.6
2024 Q415.228.3%53.5%25.9
2025 Q111.633.3%53.8%19.7
2025 Q27.735.9%43.5%13.6
2025 Q37.235.6%43.1%11.6
2025 Q46.336.7%40.9%9.3
2026 Q14.663.5%44.6%18.5
2026 Q24.069.4%50.9%32.9

Forecast & Accuracy

Next-quarter estimate for each behavior metric, chosen by whichever simple model has been most accurate for this security in a walk-forward backtest. We show the historical error (MAPE) and how often the trend direction was right, so you can judge how much to trust each number. These forecast trading behavior, not price.

Cancel-to-Trade Ratio

4.0

next quarter · from 4.0

Trend: rising

Backtest accuracy: ±15.7% avg error · direction right 37% of quarters

model: naive · 19 test quarters

Hidden-Order Rate

69.4%

next quarter · from 69.4%

Trend: falling

Backtest accuracy: ±9.4% avg error · direction right 32% of quarters

model: naive · 19 test quarters

Odd-Lot Rate

50.9%

next quarter · from 50.9%

Trend: rising

Backtest accuracy: ±6.7% avg error · direction right 42% of quarters

model: naive · 19 test quarters

Unusual Activity Days

Days when FOLD's order-cancellation activity spiked well above its typical range for that quarter (more than two standard deviations). These often line up with earnings, news, or market-wide events.

2026-04-07cancel/trade 7.26 vs avg 4.23+2.47σ
2026-01-20cancel/trade 8.37 vs avg 4.59+2.53σ
2026-01-15cancel/trade 7.73 vs avg 4.59+2.1σ
2026-01-08cancel/trade 9.69 vs avg 4.59+3.41σ
2025-08-15cancel/trade 13.3 vs avg 7.4+4.25σ
2025-04-07cancel/trade 15.55 vs avg 7.64+4.7σ
2025-04-04cancel/trade 12.13 vs avg 7.64+2.67σ
2025-03-18cancel/trade 15.99 vs avg 11.72+2.1σ
2025-02-07cancel/trade 16.72 vs avg 11.72+2.46σ
2024-11-13cancel/trade 22.26 vs avg 15.34+2.23σ
2024-11-11cancel/trade 24.53 vs avg 15.34+2.96σ
2024-10-10cancel/trade 22.05 vs avg 15.34+2.16σ

Derived from the SEC's public MIDAS market-structure data. Describes historical order-flow behavior for informational and educational purposes only. Not investment advice and not a forecast of price or return.